Before the biggest European match of the year, we covered the team’s current form, strengths, and chances of winning. Check out our special bonuses on the match at the end!
On Saturday, 10th June (at 21:00 CET), runners-up of 2021, Manchester City will play against three-time winners Inter for the Champions League trophy.
This is the first time the teams are playing each other for the biggest club prize in football. Let’s have a look at both teams and their odds of winning provided by FiveThirtyEight’s supercomputer.
City has been trying very hard to win the Champions League. They had a chance in 2021, but after a 0-1 loss to Chelsea in the final, the job has remained undone. This year, they are closer than ever to achieving this goal.
Chance of winning: 75%
The newly-crowned champions of the Premier League and FA Cup haven’t lost a game in this season’s UEFA Champions League. They won 7 out of the 12 matches they played, including against Bayern Munich and holders Real Madrid. City are definitely the favourites in this tie.
Betting tip: goals
City has scored 31 goals in this season’s tournament, more than any other team in the competition. Their unstoppable striker, Erling Haaland, has scored 12 of those, leading the race to be the top scorer by four goals.
We can definitely expect City to score goals in the final, it would be the safest bet.
Last 7 games: 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
After winning the Premier League title with a 5-point lead over Arsenal, City lost their first game in 27 matches across all competitions (winning 21 games and drawing 5). As they defeated Manchester United in the FA Cup, Pep Guardiola’s team is now only one victory away from winning a treble.
Experts believe that Guardiola’s team is likely to win because they beat Bayern and Real Madrid easily. It’s exciting to watch City overpower other teams with their precise passing, aggressive pressure, and fast speed. Big games like this are usually very close, but City is determined to win and if they keep playing this way, they might lift the Champions League trophy for the first time.
No Italian club has won the Champions League since Inter beat Bayern in 2010. The Nerazzurri have just one more challenge to overcome to lift the trophy again, but this one will be very difficult.
Chance of winning: 25%
Inter, the 2022/23 Coppa Italia winners, have suffered two defeats against Bayern during this season’s group stage. The Nerazzurri bounced back in the knockout phase, winning 4 out of 6 games and keeping clean sheets in 5 of them.
The team led by Simone Inzaghi did a great job in the semi-finals, winning both matches against Milan and scoring three goals without conceding any. Despite the impressive display, many people still see them as the weaker team in the final compared to City.
Last 7 games: 6 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss
Inter has been on a great run of form lately, winning 11 out of their last 12 games in all competitions. They were recently crowned champions of the Coppa Italia, defeating Fiorentina in the final. After Inzaghi’s team won their last match against Torino, they closed the Serie A season in third place.
Inter are back in the final after 13 long years, but this time, the odds seem to be stacked against them. However, they are not ones to be underestimated. The team has a solid defensive line and a well-coordinated attacking formation. Inter works as a team, defending together as a block and attacking as a unit.
Additionally, under Inzaghi’s guidance, they have become adept at adapting their style of play to suit their opponents. It is likely that they will defend deep and try to hit City on the counter-attack. But the question remains — will it be enough to win the final?
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